Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.026557 0.029172 0.031761 0.034513 0.037348 0.040180 0.043216
2024-12-29 0.021174 0.025361 0.029628 0.034276 0.039170 0.044150 0.049579
2025-01-05 0.017298 0.022474 0.027889 0.033907 0.040351 0.046996 0.054324
2025-01-12 0.014195 0.020032 0.026295 0.033383 0.041079 0.049103 0.058032
2025-01-19 0.011102 0.017300 0.024143 0.032037 0.040731 0.049890 0.060165
2025-01-26 0.009865 0.016547 0.024075 0.032872 0.042645 0.053007 0.064690
2025-02-02 0.008359 0.015338 0.023390 0.032931 0.043631 0.055051 0.067989
2025-02-09 0.006564 0.013614 0.022004 0.032113 0.043573 0.055893 0.069928
2025-02-16 0.005546 0.012774 0.021590 0.032348 0.044637 0.057918 0.073102
2025-02-23 0.004494 0.011783 0.020934 0.032253 0.045290 0.059452 0.075705
2025-03-02 0.003483 0.010733 0.020144 0.031956 0.045675 0.060657 0.077915
2025-03-09 0.002671 0.009862 0.019525 0.031822 0.046212 0.062002 0.080250
2025-03-16 0.001545 0.008385 0.018184 0.030939 0.046045 0.062738 0.082124
2025-03-23 0.000837 0.007412 0.017471 0.030826 0.046799 0.064553 0.085250
2025-03-30 0.000280 0.006389 0.016612 0.030490 0.047264 0.066018 0.087967
2025-04-06 NaN 0.005368 0.015662 0.029989 0.047495 0.067188 0.090325
2025-04-13 NaN 0.004054 0.014144 0.028697 0.046743 0.067202 0.091359
2025-04-20 NaN 0.003841 0.014273 0.029499 0.048465 0.070019 0.095507
2025-04-27 NaN 0.003314 0.013849 0.029556 0.049274 0.071773 0.098444
2025-05-04 NaN 0.002486 0.012820 0.028770 0.049037 0.072303 0.099984
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002134 0.012565 0.028995 0.050009 0.074209 0.103056
2025-05-18 NaN 0.001702 0.012095 0.028905 0.050578 0.075633 0.105570
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001256 0.011504 0.028619 0.050889 0.076744 0.107713